Europe's migrant elephant by MARTIN WALKER

One respondent in three, 33 percent, said they expect Le Pen to make the final runoff list of the two candidates with the highest votes in the next President election to be held in 18 months. One in four, 24 percent, said they agreed with Le Pen - a significant advance on the 18 percent of the vote he received in the last Presidential election in 2002.

Moreover, the ideas and resentments that underpin Le Pen's message have become widespread. Nearly three out of four, 73 percent, declared that "the traditional values of France are not adequately protected." Nearly two out of three, 63 percent, said bluntly that there are too many immigrants in France, and 44 percent said they do not feel at home in their own country.